The emerging new Globalization and the War in Ukraine: A Complex Interplay of Politics, Economy and Society

Abstract

The article analyzes the impact of globalization on the war in Ukraine and the war's reciprocal influence on the international system, economy, and society. The conflict is viewed as a critical juncture in the reordering of the world system, accelerating trends toward deglobalization and intensifying the confrontation between democratic and auto-cratic blocs. The research is based on the phenomenological method and systems anal-ysis, supplemented by the methodology of process sociology (specifically, Norbert Elias's theory of functional democratization). This sociological approach allows the war to be analyzed not only as a geopolitical conflict but also as a consequence of the gradual breakdown of Russia's integration with the West and its entanglement with alter-native global structures. The author demonstrates that the events of the war in Ukraine definitively proved the groundlessness of the presumption "globalization equals democ-ratization," as not all states are prepared to espouse democratic values. The analysis also revealed profound economic and social consequences of the conflict: Economic: Global surges in energy and food prices, disruption of supply chains, acceleration of economic decoupling between the West, Russia, and China, and increased fragmentation of the world economy. Social: The largest migration crisis in Europe since World War II, massive casualties, and the fueling of heightened nationalism and polarization of public consciousness worldwide. The author emphasizes the necessity of revising the theoretical foundations of economic and security policy in the face of a new, less predictable global paradigm.